Thursday, May 21, 2009

S&P500 Price/Earning at 122.45


Is 122 high for P/E? Hell yeah it is! Any individual stock with P/E greater than 30 becomes easily considered "over bought" by many institutional traders.



While the public remains cluelessly optimistic from the rally past few months, corporate earnings have dropped like a ship from heaven. The stock market has become well over priced. Time to wake up and smell the coffee!!!

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Description

The most basic measure of stock market value is price relative to the latest 12 months' earnings - the P/E ratio. In bear markets, investors terrified by bad news can drive the S&P 500 P/E ratio to under 10. In the 1974 bear market, this ratio dropped to 8 with many securities trading with even lower multiples. In bull markets, extreme optimism can drive the market's P/E to 25. In the 1995 bull market, many technology stocks were valued at over 50 times their prior 12 months' earnings, while the ratio for the S&P 500 fluctuated between 16 and 20.

Calculation & Significant Levels

S&P 500 Price/Earnings Ratio: Calculated by dividing the earnings over the latest 12 months' of the S&P 500 Index into the cash price of the index. A market P/E of 18 or higher is usually considered a sign of overvaluation. When the S&P 500 P/E drops below 10 the market is historically undervalued.

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Description Source: Market Gauge

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