I like the mixed spread exploiting the volatility smile, and I wanted to add some thoughts:
- A dynamic delta hedge would likely reduce volatility of the trade's returns
- Having the actual return distribution as a known unknown; from the BSM perspective, we're likely to have a genuine edge with the seemingly undervalued options, and not so much if the others are really undervalued.
- Having an additional filter via a numerical fit of the volatility smile would likely give the trade some more of an edge.
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